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FTMatchday 5

Real Sociedad vs Atlético Madrid: Prediction

Real Sociedad0
FT
Atlético Madrid3

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

0 goals
Real SociedadAtlético Madrid
  1. Yangel Herrerayellow card18'
  2. 59'Álex Baenaon
  3. 60'Marcos Llorenteon
  4. 60'Kang-in Leeon
  5. Kang-in Leeyellow card72'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1519 – 1517

Recent form

Real SociedadDLWDW
Atlético MadridLDWLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Atlético Madrid10+1225
2Real Sociedad9+419

Head to head

  • Atlético Madrid 3–2 Real Sociedad2026-03-07
  • Real Sociedad 1–1 Atlético Madrid2026-01-04

Match preview

Real Sociedad host Atlético Madrid in the La Liga on 13 September 2026. Real Sociedad sit 5th on 19 points and Atlético Madrid are 2nd on 25. Real Sociedad have won 2 of their last 5 (DLWDW), while Atlético Madrid have won 1 of 5 (LDWLL). In their last 2 meetings, Real Sociedad won 0, Atlético Madrid won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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