Real Sociedad vs Atlético Madrid: Prediction
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Match events
2 goals- Goncalo Guedesyellow card13'
- 44'Matteo Ruggeriyellow card
- Duje Ćaleta-Caryellow card45'
- 46'⇄Matteo Ruggerion
- 46'⇄Pablo Barrioson
- 50'⚽Alexander Sørlothassist Giuliano Simeone
- ⚽Goncalo Guedesassist Takefusa Kubo55'
- 60'⇄Álex Baenaon
- 60'⇄Julián Álvarezon
- ⇄Goncalo Guedeson72'
- ⇄Beñat Turrienteson72'
- 72'⇄Kokeon
- Mikel Oyarzabalyellow card75'
- 78'Giacomo Raspadoriyellow card
- ⇄Brais Méndezon88'
- ⇄Takefusa Kuboon89'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 45%Possession55%
- 2Expected goals (xG)1
- 18Shots10
- 8Shots on target2
- 6Corners6
- 11Fouls13
- 3Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 3Offsides2
- 1Saves7
- 414Passes506
Line-ups
Real Sociedad
- 11Goncalo Guedes
- 10Mikel Oyarzabal
- 23Brais Méndez
- 1Álex Remiro
- 17Sergio Gómez
- 18Carlos Soler
- 14Takefusa Kubo
- 16Duje Ćaleta-Car
- 8Beñat Turrientes
- 2Jon Aramburu
- 31Jon Martín
Atlético Madrid
- 14Marcos Llorente
- 13Jan Oblak
- 6Koke
- 17Dávid Hancko
- 9Alexander Sørloth
- 3Matteo Ruggeri
- 10Álex Baena
- 19Julián Álvarez
- 18Marc Pubill
- 8Pablo Barrios
- 20Giuliano Simeone
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Real SociedadDLLLD
Atlético MadridWLLWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlético Madrid | 35 | +16 | 62 |
| 2 | Real Sociedad | 35 | -5 | 39 |
Head to head
- Real Sociedad 0–3 Atlético Madrid2026-09-13
- Atlético Madrid 3–2 Real Sociedad2026-03-07
Match preview
Real Sociedad host Atlético Madrid in the La Liga on 4 January 2026. Real Sociedad sit 18th on 39 points and Atlético Madrid are 4th on 62. Real Sociedad have won 0 of their last 5 (DLLLD), while Atlético Madrid have won 3 of 5 (WLLWW). In their last 2 meetings, Real Sociedad won 0, Atlético Madrid won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
