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FTMatchday 11

Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao: Prediction

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Not enough past results yet.

Match events

5 goals
Real SociedadAthletic Bilbao
  1. Brais Méndez38'
  2. Ander Barrenetxeaon41'
  3. 42'Gorka Guruzetaassist Andoni Gorosabel
  4. Goncalo Guedesassist Brais Méndez47'
  5. 53'Oihan Sanceton
  6. Goncalo Guedeson63'
  7. Brais Méndezon63'
  8. 65'Iñigo Ruiz de Galarretayellow card
  9. 68'Iñigo Ruiz de Galarretaon
  10. Jon Gorrotxategiyellow card77'
  11. 79'Robert Navarro
  12. Robert Navarroon82'
  13. Carlos Soleron82'
  14. 83'Andoni Gorosabelon
  15. 90'Yuri Berchicheyellow card
  16. Jon Gorrotxategiassist Mikel Oyarzabal90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Real SociedadAthletic Bilbao
  • 51%Possession49%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)1
  • 9Shots11
  • 5Shots on target4
  • 6Corners2
  • 20Fouls8
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Offsides1
  • 2Saves2
  • 363Passes354

Line-ups

Real Sociedad

  • 11Goncalo Guedes
  • 5Igor Zubeldia
  • 10Mikel Oyarzabal
  • 23Brais Méndez
  • 1Álex Remiro
  • 17Sergio Gómez
  • 18Carlos Soler
  • 7Ander Barrenetxea
  • 2Jon Aramburu
  • 31Jon Martín
  • 4Jon Gorrotxategi

Athletic Bilbao

  • 14Aymeric Laporte
  • 17Yuri Berchiche
  • 7Álex Berenguer
  • 1Unai Simón
  • 11Gorka Guruzeta
  • 8Oihan Sancet
  • 2Andoni Gorosabel
  • 3Dani Vivian
  • 16Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
  • 23Robert Navarro
  • 18Mikel Jauregizar

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1510 – 1483

Recent form

Real SociedadWLLDW
Athletic BilbaoLWDWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Athletic Bilbao35-1241
2Real Sociedad35-539

Head to head

  • Athletic Bilbao 2–1 Real Sociedad2026-11-01
  • Athletic Bilbao 1–1 Real Sociedad2026-02-01

Match preview

Real Sociedad host Athletic Bilbao in the La Liga on 1 November 2025. Real Sociedad sit 18th on 39 points and Athletic Bilbao are 13th on 41. Real Sociedad have won 2 of their last 5 (WLLDW), while Athletic Bilbao have won 2 of 5 (LWDWL). In their last 2 meetings, Real Sociedad won 0, Athletic Bilbao won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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