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FTMatchday 33

Real Oviedo vs Villarreal: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1427 – 1468

Recent form

Real OviedoDWLWW
VillarrealWDWLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Villarreal35+2366
2Real Oviedo35-3028

Head to head

  • Villarreal 2–0 Real Oviedo2025-08-15

Match preview

Real Oviedo host Villarreal in the La Liga on 23 April 2026. Real Oviedo sit 20th on 28 points and Villarreal are 3rd on 66. Real Oviedo have won 3 of their last 5 (DWLWW), while Villarreal have won 3 of 5 (WDWLW). In their last 1 meetings, Real Oviedo won 0, Villarreal won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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