Real Oviedo vs Valencia: Prediction
📍 Estadio Carlos Tartiere
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
1 goal- 16'Thierry Correiayellow card
- ⚽David Costasassist Thiago Fernández30'
- 32'Unai Núñezyellow card
- Thiago Fernándezyellow card36'
- Nacho Vidalyellow card41'
- 56'⇄Arnaut Danjumaon
- 56'⇄Umar Sadiqon
- 56'⇄Filip Ugrinicon
- Nicolás Fonsecayellow card59'
- ⇄Luka Ilićon63'
- ⇄Nicolás Fonsecaon70'
- ⇄Thiago Fernándezon70'
- 70'⇄Javi Guerraon
- 80'⇄Jose Luis Gayaon
- ⇄Alberto Reinaon85'
- ⇄Nacho Vidalon85'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 42%Possession58%
- 0.87Expected goals (xG)0.39
- 11Shots12
- 6Shots on target2
- 4Corners7
- 12Fouls11
- 3Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 4Offsides3
- 2Saves5
- 367Passes505
Line-ups
Real Oviedo
- 4David Costas
- 2Eric Bailly
- 22Nacho Vidal
- 25Javi López
- 21Luka Ilić
- 13Aarón Escandell
- 9Federico Viñas
- 23Nicolás Fonseca
- 15Thiago Fernández
- 5Alberto Reina
- 6Kwasi Sibo
Valencia
- 1Stole Dimitrievski
- 14Jose Luis Gaya
- 4Unai Núñez
- 7Arnaut Danjuma
- 12Thierry Correia
- 23Filip Ugrinic
- 2Guido Rodríguez
- 6Umar Sadiq
- 24Eray Cömert
- 17Largie Ramazani
- 8Javi Guerra
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Real OviedoWLDLD
ValenciaLLWLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valencia | 35 | -10 | 43 |
| 2 | Real Oviedo | 35 | -30 | 28 |
Head to head
- Valencia 1–2 Real Oviedo2025-09-30
Match preview
Real Oviedo host Valencia in the La Liga on 14 March 2026. Real Oviedo sit 20th on 28 points and Valencia are 10th on 43. Real Oviedo have won 1 of their last 5 (WLDLD), while Valencia have won 2 of 5 (LLWLW). In their last 1 meetings, Real Oviedo won 1, Valencia won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
