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FTMatchday 15

Real Oviedo vs Mallorca: Prediction

📍 Estadio Carlos Tartiere

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

0 goals
Real OviedoMallorca
  1. Oier Luengoyellow card-5'
  2. Dani Calvoyellow card-5'
  3. 31'Samú Costayellow card
  4. Ilyas Chairaon66'
  5. 75'Sergi Darderon
  6. 80'Jan Virgilion
  7. Leander Dendonckeron82'
  8. Salomón Rondónon82'
  9. Santi Cazorlared card89'
  10. Federico Viñasred card90'
  11. Santiago Colombattoon90'
  12. 90'Mateo Josephon
  13. 90'Samú Costaon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Real OviedoMallorca
  • 62%Possession38%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)1
  • 15Shots13
  • 3Shots on target5
  • 8Corners5
  • 14Fouls12
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 2Red cards0
  • 2Offsides0
  • 5Saves3
  • 468Passes285

Line-ups

Real Oviedo

  • 8Santi Cazorla
  • 23Salomón Rondón
  • 4David Costas
  • 20Leander Dendoncker
  • 22Nacho Vidal
  • 11Santiago Colombatto
  • 13Aarón Escandell
  • 16David Carmo
  • 9Federico Viñas
  • 7Ilyas Chaira
  • 3Rahim Alhassane

Mallorca

  • 5Omar Mascarell
  • 22Johan Mojica
  • 23Pablo Maffeo
  • 24Martin Valjent
  • 7Vedat Muriqi
  • 21Antonio Raíllo
  • 12Samú Costa
  • 10Sergi Darder
  • 13Lucas Bergström
  • 18Mateo Joseph
  • 17Jan Virgili

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1427 – 1481

Recent form

Real OviedoLDDLL
MallorcaWDLWD
#TeamPGDPts
1Mallorca35-841
2Real Oviedo35-3028

Head to head

  • Mallorca 3–0 Real Oviedo2026-05-23

Match preview

Real Oviedo host Mallorca in the La Liga on 5 December 2025. Real Oviedo sit 20th on 28 points and Mallorca are 12th on 41. Real Oviedo have won 0 of their last 5 (LDDLL), while Mallorca have won 2 of 5 (WDLWD). In their last 1 meetings, Real Oviedo won 0, Mallorca won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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