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FTMatchday 37

Real Oviedo vs Deportivo Alavés: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1427 – 1462

Recent form

Real OviedoDLLDL
Deportivo AlavésLWLDW
#TeamPGDPts
1Deportivo Alavés35-843
2Real Oviedo35-3028

Head to head

  • Deportivo Alavés 1–1 Real Oviedo2026-01-04

Match preview

Real Oviedo host Deportivo Alavés in the La Liga on 17 May 2026. Real Oviedo sit 20th on 28 points and Deportivo Alavés are 9th on 43. Real Oviedo have won 0 of their last 5 (DLLDL), while Deportivo Alavés have won 2 of 5 (LWLDW). In their last 1 meetings, Real Oviedo won 0, Deportivo Alavés won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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