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FTMatchday 24

Real Oviedo vs Athletic Bilbao: Prediction

📍 Estadio Carlos Tartiere

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
Real OviedoAthletic Bilbao
  1. 26'Iñigo Ruiz de Galarretayellow card
  2. Ilyas Chairaassist Federico Viñas30'
  3. Santiago Colombattoyellow card39'
  4. 46'Nico Serranoon
  5. Haissem Hassanon57'
  6. 58'Mikel Jauregizarassist Yuri Berchiche
  7. 61'Mikel Jauregizaron
  8. Kwasi Siboon65'
  9. Alberto Reinaon65'
  10. 66'Iñigo Ruiz de Galarretaon
  11. 66'Andoni Gorosabelon
  12. 68'Gorka Guruzetayellow card
  13. Thiago Fernándezyellow card70'
  14. 71'Oihan Sancetpenalty
  15. Santiago Colombattoon81'
  16. Nacho Vidalon81'
  17. 87'Alejandro Regoyellow card
  18. 90'Oihan Sanceton

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Real OviedoAthletic Bilbao
  • 54%Possession46%
  • 0.36Expected goals (xG)1.20
  • 7Shots13
  • 1Shots on target4
  • 2Corners3
  • 8Fouls20
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 5Offsides1
  • 2Saves0
  • 445Passes361

Line-ups

Real Oviedo

  • 2Eric Bailly
  • 22Nacho Vidal
  • 25Javi López
  • 11Santiago Colombatto
  • 13Aarón Escandell
  • 16David Carmo
  • 10Haissem Hassan
  • 9Federico Viñas
  • 7Ilyas Chaira
  • 5Alberto Reina
  • 6Kwasi Sibo

Athletic Bilbao

  • 14Aymeric Laporte
  • 9Iñaki Williams
  • 17Yuri Berchiche
  • 1Unai Simón
  • 11Gorka Guruzeta
  • 8Oihan Sancet
  • 2Andoni Gorosabel
  • 16Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
  • 4Aitor Paredes
  • 22Nico Serrano
  • 18Mikel Jauregizar

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1427 – 1483

Recent form

Real OviedoDDLLW
Athletic BilbaoDLLDW
#TeamPGDPts
1Athletic Bilbao35-1241
2Real Oviedo35-3028

Head to head

  • Athletic Bilbao 1–0 Real Oviedo2025-11-09

Match preview

Real Oviedo host Athletic Bilbao in the La Liga on 15 February 2026. Real Oviedo sit 20th on 28 points and Athletic Bilbao are 13th on 41. Real Oviedo have won 1 of their last 5 (DDLLW), while Athletic Bilbao have won 1 of 5 (DLLDW). In their last 1 meetings, Real Oviedo won 0, Athletic Bilbao won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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