Skip
EnglishEN ▾
FTMatchday 11

Real Madrid vs Valencia: Prediction

📍 Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals
Real MadridValencia
  1. Kylian Mbappépenalty19'
  2. Kylian Mbappéassist Arda Güler31'
  3. Aurelien Tchouameniyellow card36'
  4. Jude Bellinghamassist Federico Valverde44'
  5. Aurelien Tchouamenion46'
  6. Arda Güleron46'
  7. 46'Lucas Beltránon
  8. 55'Diego Lópezon
  9. 55'Thierry Correiaon
  10. 55'Luis Riojaon
  11. Dean Huijsenon68'
  12. Kylian Mbappéon79'
  13. Vinícius Júnioron79'
  14. Álvaro Carreras82'
  15. 87'Pepeluon
  16. 88'Javi Guerrayellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Real MadridValencia
  • 65%Possession35%
  • 3Expected goals (xG)0
  • 21Shots4
  • 11Shots on target1
  • 7Corners1
  • 14Fouls7
  • 1Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides0
  • 1Saves7
  • 715Passes382

Line-ups

Real Madrid

  • 1Thibaut Courtois
  • 7Vinícius Júnior
  • 10Kylian Mbappé
  • 3Éder Militão
  • 8Federico Valverde
  • 14Aurelien Tchouameni
  • 5Jude Bellingham
  • 15Arda Güler
  • 18Álvaro Carreras
  • 24Dean Huijsen
  • 30Franco Mastantuono

Valencia

  • 14Jose Luis Gaya
  • 11Luis Rioja
  • 7Arnaut Danjuma
  • 22Baptiste Santamaria
  • 12Thierry Correia
  • 18Pepelu
  • 25Julen Agirrezabala
  • 16Diego López
  • 3José Copete
  • 15Lucas Beltrán
  • 5César Tárrega Requeni

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1567 – 1467

Recent form

Real MadridWWWWW
ValenciaDLLDL
#TeamPGDPts
1Real Madrid35+4082
2Valencia35-1043

Head to head

  • Valencia 0–2 Real Madrid2026-02-08

Match preview

Real Madrid host Valencia in the La Liga on 1 November 2025. Real Madrid sit 2nd on 82 points and Valencia are 10th on 43. Real Madrid have won 5 of their last 5 (WWWWW), while Valencia have won 0 of 5 (DLLDL). In their last 1 meetings, Real Madrid won 1, Valencia won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming