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FTMatchday 17

Real Madrid vs Sevilla: Prediction

📍 Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
Real MadridSevilla
  1. 34'José Ángel Carmonayellow card
  2. 37'Marcãoyellow card
  3. Jude Bellinghamassist Rodrygo38'
  4. Rodrygoyellow card41'
  5. Raúl Asencioyellow card60'
  6. 60'Gabriel Suazoon
  7. 68'Marcãoyellow card
  8. 68'Marcãored card
  9. 70'Lucien Agouméyellow card
  10. 70'Isaac Romeroon
  11. Arda Güleron72'
  12. Vinícius Júnioron83'
  13. 84'José Ángel Carmonaon
  14. 84'Lucien Agouméon
  15. 84'Batista Mendyon
  16. Kylian Mbappépenalty86'
  17. 90'Djibril Sowyellow card
  18. Raúl Asencioon90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Real MadridSevilla
  • 53%Possession47%
  • 2Expected goals (xG)2
  • 18Shots14
  • 8Shots on target5
  • 6Corners5
  • 13Fouls19
  • 2Yellow cards5
  • 0Red cards1
  • 1Offsides0
  • 5Saves6
  • 496Passes437

Line-ups

Real Madrid

  • 1Thibaut Courtois
  • 22Antonio Rudiger
  • 7Vinícius Júnior
  • 10Kylian Mbappé
  • 11Rodrygo
  • 14Aurelien Tchouameni
  • 5Jude Bellingham
  • 20Fran García
  • 15Arda Güler
  • 24Dean Huijsen
  • 17Raúl Asencio

Sevilla

  • 10Alexis Sánchez
  • 1Odisseas Vlachodimos
  • 20Djibril Sow
  • 18Lucien Agoumé
  • 6Nemanja Gudelj
  • 19Batista Mendy
  • 23Marcão
  • 16Juanlu
  • 12Gabriel Suazo
  • 2José Ángel Carmona
  • 7Isaac Romero

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1567 – 1468

Recent form

Real MadridWDWLW
SevillaLWLDW
#TeamPGDPts
1Real Madrid35+4082
2Sevilla35-1242

Head to head

  • Real Madrid 4–1 Sevilla2026-10-18
  • Sevilla 0–1 Real Madrid2026-05-17

Match preview

Real Madrid host Sevilla in the La Liga on 20 December 2025. Real Madrid sit 2nd on 82 points and Sevilla are 11th on 42. Real Madrid have won 3 of their last 5 (WDWLW), while Sevilla have won 2 of 5 (LWLDW). In their last 2 meetings, Real Madrid won 2, Sevilla won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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