FTMatchday 24

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad: Prediction

📍 Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Real Madrid4

Real Sociedad1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

5 goals

Real MadridReal Sociedad

Gonzalo Garcíaassist Trent Alexander-Arnold5'
Dean Huijsenyellow card20'
21'Mikel Oyarzabalpenalty
Vinícius Júniorpenalty25'
Federico Valverdeassist Álvaro Carreras31'
46'Wesleyon
Vinícius Júniorpenalty48'
Trent Alexander-Arnoldon60'
Antonio Rudigeron60'
60'Mikel Oyarzabalon
60'Yangel Herreraon
Eduardo Camavingaon73'
Federico Valverdeon73'
73'Pablo Marínon
Aurelien Tchouamenion79'
90'Beñat Turrientesyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Real MadridReal Sociedad

52%Possession48%
3.10Expected goals (xG)1.67
11Shots13
5Shots on target3
4Corners6
10Fouls9
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
5Offsides1
2Saves0
583Passes526

Line-ups

Real Madrid

1Thibaut Courtois
22Antonio Rudiger
7Vinícius Júnior
12Trent Alexander-Arnold
8Federico Valverde
14Aurelien Tchouameni
6Eduardo Camavinga
15Arda Güler
18Álvaro Carreras
24Dean Huijsen
16Gonzalo García

Real Sociedad

5Igor Zubeldia
10Mikel Oyarzabal
1Álex Remiro
18Carlos Soler
12Yangel Herrera
3Aihen Muñoz
15Pablo Marín
22Wesley
2Jon Aramburu
31Jon Martín
4Jon Gorrotxategi

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1567 – 1510

Recent form

Real MadridWWWWW

Real SociedadWWWDW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Real Madrid	35	+40	82
2	Real Sociedad	35	-5	39

Head to head

Real Sociedad 1–2 Real Madrid2025-09-13

Match preview

Real Madrid host Real Sociedad in the La Liga on 14 February 2026. Real Madrid sit 2nd on 82 points and Real Sociedad are 18th on 39. Real Madrid have won 5 of their last 5 (WWWWW), while Real Sociedad have won 4 of 5 (WWWDW). In their last 1 meetings, Real Madrid won 1, Real Sociedad won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.