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Kick-off · Matchday 5

Real Madrid vs PSV Eindhoven: Prediction

Real Madrid
54%Home win
PSV Eindhoven

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.89 – 1.19
Team rating (Elo)1557 – 1515

Recent form

Real MadridWWWWW
PSV EindhovenDWDLW
#TeamPGDPts
2PSV Eindhoven304

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Real Madrid host PSV Eindhoven in the UEFA Champions League on 24 November 2026. Real Madrid sit 9th on 9 points and PSV Eindhoven are 42nd on 4. Real Madrid have won 5 of their last 5 (WWWWW), while PSV Eindhoven have won 2 of 5 (DWDLW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. TipKhel's model gives Real Madrid 54%, the draw 22% and PSV Eindhoven 24%, so Real Madrid are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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