Kick-off · Sun, 13 Dec, 09:30 pm ISTMatchday 16
Real Madrid vs Osasuna: Prediction
Real Madrid70%Home win
Osasuna70% Home win18% Draw12% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score2-0
Expected goals (model)2.20 – 0.77
Team rating (Elo)1557 – 1431
Recent form
Real MadridWWWWWOsasunaLDLWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 9 | +12 | 21 |
| 2 | Osasuna | 9 | -11 | 8 |
Head to head
- Osasuna 2–1 Real Madrid2026-02-21
- Real Madrid 1–0 Osasuna2025-08-19
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
