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FTMatchday 1

Real Madrid vs Osasuna: Prediction

📍 Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
Real MadridOsasuna
  1. Kylian Mbappépenalty51'
  2. 66'Ruben Garciaon
  3. Brahimon68'
  4. Trent Alexander-Arnoldon68'
  5. 77'Aimar Orozon
  6. Vinícius Júnioron78'
  7. 85'Juan Cruzon
  8. Kylian Mbappéyellow card90'
  9. 90'Abel Bretonesred card
  10. Arda Güleron90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Real MadridOsasuna
  • 71%Possession29%
  • 2Expected goals (xG)0
  • 18Shots2
  • 5Shots on target0
  • 7Corners0
  • 10Fouls12
  • 1Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards1
  • 0Offsides0
  • 0Saves4
  • 721Passes299

Line-ups

Real Madrid

  • 1Thibaut Courtois
  • 7Vinícius Júnior
  • 12Trent Alexander-Arnold
  • 21Brahim
  • 10Kylian Mbappé
  • 3Éder Militão
  • 8Federico Valverde
  • 14Aurelien Tchouameni
  • 15Arda Güler
  • 18Álvaro Carreras
  • 24Dean Huijsen

Osasuna

  • 6Lucas Torró
  • 14Ruben Garcia
  • 17Ante Budimir
  • 1Sergio Herrera
  • 7Jon Moncayola
  • 3Juan Cruz
  • 24Alejandro Catena
  • 19Valentin Rosier
  • 10Aimar Oroz
  • 22Enzo Boyomo
  • 23Abel Bretones

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1567 – 1425

Recent form

Real Madrid–
Osasuna–
#TeamPGDPts
1Real Madrid35+4082
2Osasuna35-439

Head to head

  • Osasuna 2–1 Real Madrid2026-02-21

Match preview

Real Madrid host Osasuna in the La Liga on 19 August 2025. Real Madrid sit 2nd on 82 points and Osasuna are 17th on 39. In their last 1 meetings, Real Madrid won 0, Osasuna won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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