Real Madrid vs Mallorca: Prediction
📍 Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
3 goals- 18'⚽Vedat Muriqiassist Pablo Torre
- ⚽Arda Gülerassist Dean Huijsen37'
- ⚽Vinícius Júniorassist Federico Valverde38'
- 64'⇄Pablo Torreon
- ⇄Franco Mastantuonoon66'
- Dean Huijsenyellow card67'
- ⇄Trent Alexander-Arnoldon72'
- ⇄Vinícius Júnioron72'
- ⇄Arda Güleron72'
- 78'⇄Mateu Moreyon
- 78'⇄Toni Latoon
- 87'⇄Manu Morlaneson
- 87'⇄Mateo Josephon
- Éder Militãoyellow card89'
- ⇄Kylian Mbappéon90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 58%Possession42%
- 2Expected goals (xG)1
- 17Shots9
- 7Shots on target5
- 4Corners5
- 12Fouls7
- 2Yellow cards0
- 0Red cards0
- 3Offsides1
- 2Saves5
- 538Passes382
Line-ups
Real Madrid
- 1Thibaut Courtois
- 7Vinícius Júnior
- 12Trent Alexander-Arnold
- 10Kylian Mbappé
- 3Éder Militão
- 8Federico Valverde
- 14Aurelien Tchouameni
- 15Arda Güler
- 18Álvaro Carreras
- 24Dean Huijsen
- 30Franco Mastantuono
Mallorca
- 3Toni Lato
- 24Martin Valjent
- 4Marash Kumbulla
- 7Vedat Muriqi
- 2Mateu Morey
- 21Antonio Raíllo
- 8Manu Morlanes
- 10Sergi Darder
- 20Pablo Torre
- 1Leo Román
- 18Mateo Joseph
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Real MadridW
MallorcaL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 35 | +40 | 82 |
| 2 | Mallorca | 35 | -8 | 41 |
Head to head
- Mallorca 2–1 Real Madrid2026-04-04
Match preview
Real Madrid host Mallorca in the La Liga on 30 August 2025. Real Madrid sit 2nd on 82 points and Mallorca are 12th on 41. Real Madrid have won 1 of their last 1 (W), while Mallorca have won 0 of 1 (L). In their last 1 meetings, Real Madrid won 0, Mallorca won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
