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FTMatchday 28

Real Madrid vs Elche: Prediction

📍 Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

5 goals
Real MadridElche
  1. 23'Buba Sangaréon
  2. Antonio Rudiger39'
  3. Federico Valverdeassist Fran García44'
  4. Eduardo Camavingayellow card55'
  5. Vinícius Júnioron58'
  6. Federico Valverdeon58'
  7. Aurelien Tchouamenion58'
  8. Antonio Rudigeron61'
  9. 62'Germán Valerayellow card
  10. Brahimon63'
  11. Thiago Pitarchon64'
  12. 64'Léo Pétroton
  13. 64'Lucas Cepedaon
  14. 64'Federico Redondoon
  15. 66'David Affengruberyellow card
  16. Dean Huijsenassist Daniel Yáñez66'
  17. 74'Martim Carvalho Netoon
  18. 74'David Affengruberon
  19. 85'Manuel Ángelown goal
  20. 88'Rafa Miryellow card
  21. Arda Güler89'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Real MadridElche
  • 47%Possession53%
  • 1.37Expected goals (xG)0.84
  • 14Shots11
  • 6Shots on target1
  • 5Corners4
  • 11Fouls21
  • 1Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Offsides1
  • 1Saves2
  • 480Passes531

Line-ups

Real Madrid

  • 1Thibaut Courtois
  • 2Daniel Carvajal
  • 22Antonio Rudiger
  • 7Vinícius Júnior
  • 21Brahim
  • 8Federico Valverde
  • 14Aurelien Tchouameni
  • 6Eduardo Camavinga
  • 20Fran García
  • 24Dean Huijsen
  • 45Thiago Pitarch

Elche

  • 9André Silva
  • 14Aleix Febas
  • 23Víctor Chust
  • 22David Affengruber
  • 1Matías Dituro
  • 21Léo Pétrot
  • 11Germán Valera
  • 24Lucas Cepeda
  • 5Federico Redondo
  • 16Martim Carvalho Neto
  • 42Buba Sangaré

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1567 – 1468

Recent form

Real MadridWWWLW
ElcheLLDLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Real Madrid35+4082
2Elche35-840

Head to head

  • Elche 2–3 Real Madrid2026-09-15

Match preview

Real Madrid host Elche in the La Liga on 14 March 2026. Real Madrid sit 2nd on 82 points and Elche are 15th on 40. Real Madrid have won 4 of their last 5 (WWWLW), while Elche have won 0 of 5 (LLDLL). In their last 1 meetings, Real Madrid won 1, Elche won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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