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Kick-off · Matchday 14

Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés: Prediction

Real Madrid
67%Home win
Deportivo Alavés

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score2-0
Expected goals (model)2.09 – 0.81
Team rating (Elo)1557 – 1469

Recent form

Real MadridWWWWW
Deportivo AlavésDLLDL
#TeamPGDPts
1Real Madrid9+1221
2Deportivo Alavés10-59

Head to head

  • Real Madrid 2–1 Deportivo Alavés2026-04-21
  • Deportivo Alavés 1–2 Real Madrid2025-12-14

Match preview

Real Madrid host Deportivo Alavés in the La Liga on 29 November 2026. Real Madrid sit 3rd on 21 points and Deportivo Alavés are 15th on 9. Real Madrid have won 5 of their last 5 (WWWWW), while Deportivo Alavés have won 0 of 5 (DLLDL). In their last 2 meetings, Real Madrid won 2, Deportivo Alavés won 0 and 0 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Real Madrid 67%, the draw 20% and Deportivo Alavés 13%, so Real Madrid are the slight favourites, with 2-0 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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