Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés: Prediction
📍 Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
3 goals- ⚽Kylian Mbappéassist Arda Güler30'
- Aurelien Tchouameniyellow card35'
- ⇄Éder Militãoon45'
- ⚽Vinícius Júniorassist Federico Valverde50'
- ⇄Arda Güleron58'
- ⇄Jude Bellinghamon58'
- 58'⇄Jon Guridion
- 58'⇄Denis Suárezon
- ⇄Trent Alexander-Arnoldon63'
- ⇄Aurelien Tchouamenion63'
- 66'⇄Lucas Boyéon
- 66'⇄Youssef Enríquezon
- 75'⇄Antonio Blancoon
- 90'Angel Pérez Hidalgoyellow card
- 90'⚽Toni Martínezassist Ander Guevara
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 61%Possession39%
- 1.62Expected goals (xG)1.76
- 24Shots19
- 8Shots on target5
- 9Corners6
- 14Fouls12
- 1Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 4Offsides1
- 4Saves5
- 631Passes399
Line-ups
Real Madrid
- 7Vinícius Júnior
- 12Trent Alexander-Arnold
- 10Kylian Mbappé
- 13Andriy Lunin
- 3Éder Militão
- 8Federico Valverde
- 14Aurelien Tchouameni
- 5Jude Bellingham
- 15Arda Güler
- 18Álvaro Carreras
- 24Dean Huijsen
Deportivo Alavés
- 11Toni Martínez
- 4Denis Suárez
- 18Jon Guridi
- 1Antonio Sivera
- 15Lucas Boyé
- 17Jonathan Otto
- 8Antonio Blanco
- 14Nahuel Tenaglia
- 24Víctor Parada
- 3Youssef Enríquez
- 7Angel Pérez Hidalgo
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Real MadridWWWLD
Deportivo AlavésLDWDD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 35 | +40 | 82 |
| 2 | Deportivo Alavés | 35 | -8 | 43 |
Head to head
- Deportivo Alavés 1–2 Real Madrid2025-12-14
Match preview
Real Madrid host Deportivo Alavés in the La Liga on 21 April 2026. Real Madrid sit 2nd on 82 points and Deportivo Alavés are 9th on 43. Real Madrid have won 3 of their last 5 (WWWLD), while Deportivo Alavés have won 1 of 5 (LDWDD). In their last 1 meetings, Real Madrid won 1, Deportivo Alavés won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
