Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo: Prediction
📍 Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
2 goals- Endrickred card-5'
- ⇄Éder Militãoon24'
- 46'⇄Pablo Duránon
- 53'⚽Williot Swedbergassist Bryan Zaragoza
- ⇄Raúl Asencioon54'
- Jude Bellinghamyellow card62'
- Fran Garcíayellow card63'
- Fran Garcíayellow card64'
- Fran Garcíared card64'
- 71'⇄Bryan Zaragozaon
- 71'⇄Óscar Minguezaon
- ⇄Arda Güleron74'
- 83'Ilaix Moribayellow card
- 84'⇄Miguel Románon
- 88'⇄Borja Iglesiason
- Rodrygoyellow card90'
- Federico Valverdeyellow card90'
- Álvaro Carrerasyellow card90'
- Álvaro Carrerasred card90'
- 90'⚽Williot Swedbergassist Iago Aspas
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 58%Possession42%
- 2Expected goals (xG)2
- 23Shots7
- 7Shots on target5
- 8Corners1
- 6Fouls12
- 6Yellow cards1
- 3Red cards0
- 2Offsides1
- 3Saves7
- 585Passes447
Line-ups
Real Madrid
- 1Thibaut Courtois
- 7Vinícius Júnior
- 10Kylian Mbappé
- 3Éder Militão
- 8Federico Valverde
- 14Aurelien Tchouameni
- 5Jude Bellingham
- 20Fran García
- 15Arda Güler
- 18Álvaro Carreras
- 17Raúl Asencio
Celta Vigo
- 20Marcos Alonso
- 7Borja Iglesias
- 13Ionuț Radu
- 5Sergio Carreira
- 3Óscar Mingueza
- 6Ilaix Moriba
- 2Carl Starfelt
- 15Bryan Zaragoza
- 32Javi Rodríguez
- 18Pablo Durán
- 16Miguel Román
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35 | +40 | 82 | |
| 2 | 35 | +3 | 47 |
Head to head
- Celta Vigo 1–2 Real Madrid2026-03-06
Match preview
Real Madrid host Celta Vigo in the La Liga on 7 December 2025. Real Madrid sit 2nd on 82 points and Celta Vigo are 7th on 47. Real Madrid have won 2 of their last 5 (LDWDW), while Celta Vigo have won 2 of 5 (DWWLL). In their last 1 meetings, Real Madrid won 1, Celta Vigo won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

