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FTMatchday 15

Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo: Prediction

📍 Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
Real MadridCelta Vigo
  1. Endrickred card-5'
  2. Éder Militãoon24'
  3. 46'Pablo Duránon
  4. 53'Williot Swedbergassist Bryan Zaragoza
  5. Raúl Asencioon54'
  6. Jude Bellinghamyellow card62'
  7. Fran Garcíayellow card63'
  8. Fran Garcíayellow card64'
  9. Fran Garcíared card64'
  10. 71'Bryan Zaragozaon
  11. 71'Óscar Minguezaon
  12. Arda Güleron74'
  13. 83'Ilaix Moribayellow card
  14. 84'Miguel Románon
  15. 88'Borja Iglesiason
  16. Rodrygoyellow card90'
  17. Federico Valverdeyellow card90'
  18. Álvaro Carrerasyellow card90'
  19. Álvaro Carrerasred card90'
  20. 90'Williot Swedbergassist Iago Aspas

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Real MadridCelta Vigo
  • 58%Possession42%
  • 2Expected goals (xG)2
  • 23Shots7
  • 7Shots on target5
  • 8Corners1
  • 6Fouls12
  • 6Yellow cards1
  • 3Red cards0
  • 2Offsides1
  • 3Saves7
  • 585Passes447

Line-ups

Real Madrid

  • 1Thibaut Courtois
  • 7Vinícius Júnior
  • 10Kylian Mbappé
  • 3Éder Militão
  • 8Federico Valverde
  • 14Aurelien Tchouameni
  • 5Jude Bellingham
  • 20Fran García
  • 15Arda Güler
  • 18Álvaro Carreras
  • 17Raúl Asencio

Celta Vigo

  • 20Marcos Alonso
  • 7Borja Iglesias
  • 13Ionuț Radu
  • 5Sergio Carreira
  • 3Óscar Mingueza
  • 6Ilaix Moriba
  • 2Carl Starfelt
  • 15Bryan Zaragoza
  • 32Javi Rodríguez
  • 18Pablo Durán
  • 16Miguel Román

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1567 – 1492

Recent form

Real MadridLDWDW
Celta VigoDWWLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Real Madrid35+4082
2Celta Vigo35+347

Head to head

  • Celta Vigo 1–2 Real Madrid2026-03-06

Match preview

Real Madrid host Celta Vigo in the La Liga on 7 December 2025. Real Madrid sit 2nd on 82 points and Celta Vigo are 7th on 47. Real Madrid have won 2 of their last 5 (LDWDW), while Celta Vigo have won 2 of 5 (DWWLL). In their last 1 meetings, Real Madrid won 1, Celta Vigo won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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