FTMatchday 10

Real Madrid vs Barcelona: Prediction

📍 Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Real Madrid2

Barcelona1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals

Real MadridBarcelona

Kylian Mbappéassist Jude Bellingham22'
Federico Valverdeyellow card23'
38'Fermínassist Marcus Rashford
42'Pedriyellow card
Jude Bellinghamassist Éder Militão43'
Dean Huijsenyellow card57'
Arda Güleron66'
Federico Valverdeon72'
Vinícius Júnioron72'
74'Eric Garcíaon
74'Ferran Torreson
84'Pau Cubarsíon
90'Pedriyellow card
90'Fermínyellow card
90'Pedrired card
Jude Bellinghamon90'
Kylian Mbappéon90'
90'Alejandro Baldeon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Real MadridBarcelona

32%Possession68%
4Expected goals (xG)1
23Shots15
10Shots on target6
12Corners4
12Fouls9
5Yellow cards5
1Red cards1
5Offsides2
4Saves9
275Passes640

Line-ups

Real Madrid

1Thibaut Courtois
7Vinícius Júnior
10Kylian Mbappé
3Éder Militão
8Federico Valverde
14Aurelien Tchouameni
5Jude Bellingham
6Eduardo Camavinga
15Arda Güler
18Álvaro Carreras
24Dean Huijsen

Barcelona

25Wojciech Szczesny
14Marcus Rashford
7Ferran Torres
23Jules Koundé
21Frenkie de Jong
24Eric García
8Pedri
3Alejandro Balde
10Lamine Yamal
16Fermín
5Pau Cubarsí

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1567 – 1540

Recent form

Real MadridLWWWW

BarcelonaWLLWW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	35	+51	85
2	Real Madrid	35	+40	82

Head to head

Barcelona 1–2 Real Madrid2026-10-25
Barcelona 2–0 Real Madrid2026-05-10

Match preview

Real Madrid host Barcelona in the La Liga on 26 October 2025. Real Madrid sit 2nd on 82 points and Barcelona are 1st on 85. Real Madrid have won 4 of their last 5 (LWWWW), while Barcelona have won 3 of 5 (WLLWW). In their last 2 meetings, Real Madrid won 1, Barcelona won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.