Real Madrid vs Atlético Madrid: Prediction
📍 Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
5 goals- 27'Johnny Cardosoyellow card
- 33'⚽Ademola Lookmanassist Giuliano Simeone
- 36'Matteo Ruggeriyellow card
- 46'⇄Robin Le Normandon
- ⚽Vinícius Júniorpenalty52'
- ⚽Federico Valverde55'
- 57'⇄Antoine Griezmannon
- 57'⇄Johnny Cardosoon
- 57'⇄Ademola Lookmanon
- 61'Dávid Hanckoyellow card
- Thiago Pitarchyellow card63'
- ⇄Thiago Pitarchon64'
- ⇄Daniel Carvajalon64'
- 66'⚽Nahuel Molinaassist Julián Álvarez
- 68'Marcos Llorenteyellow card
- 71'⇄Giuliano Simeoneon
- ⚽Vinícius Júniorassist Trent Alexander-Arnold72'
- ⇄Brahimon74'
- ⇄Arda Güleron74'
- Federico Valverdered card77'
- ⇄Vinícius Júnioron87'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 53%Possession47%
- 2.42Expected goals (xG)0.91
- 17Shots12
- 10Shots on target6
- 4Corners1
- 2Fouls15
- 1Yellow cards4
- 1Red cards0
- 2Offsides0
- 4Saves5
- 556Passes499
Line-ups
Real Madrid
- 2Daniel Carvajal
- 22Antonio Rudiger
- 7Vinícius Júnior
- 21Brahim
- 13Andriy Lunin
- 8Federico Valverde
- 14Aurelien Tchouameni
- 20Fran García
- 15Arda Güler
- 24Dean Huijsen
- 45Thiago Pitarch
Atlético Madrid
- 14Marcos Llorente
- 6Koke
- 7Antoine Griezmann
- 22Ademola Lookman
- 17Dávid Hancko
- 1Juan Musso
- 24Robin Le Normand
- 3Matteo Ruggeri
- 19Julián Álvarez
- 5Johnny Cardoso
- 20Giuliano Simeone
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Real MadridWWLWW
Atlético MadridLLWWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 35 | +40 | 82 |
| 2 | Atlético Madrid | 35 | +16 | 62 |
Head to head
- Atlético Madrid 2–1 Real Madrid2026-09-20
- Atlético Madrid 5–2 Real Madrid2025-09-27
Match preview
Real Madrid host Atlético Madrid in the La Liga on 22 March 2026. Real Madrid sit 2nd on 82 points and Atlético Madrid are 4th on 62. Real Madrid have won 4 of their last 5 (WWLWW), while Atlético Madrid have won 3 of 5 (LLWWW). In their last 2 meetings, Real Madrid won 0, Atlético Madrid won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
