Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao: Prediction
Not enough past results yet.
Tipster consensus
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Real MadridDWLWW
Athletic BilbaoLWLLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 35 | +40 | 82 |
| 2 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | -12 | 41 |
Head to head
- Athletic Bilbao 0–3 Real Madrid2025-12-03
Match preview
Real Madrid host Athletic Bilbao in the La Liga on 23 May 2026. Real Madrid sit 2nd on 82 points and Athletic Bilbao are 13th on 41. Real Madrid have won 3 of their last 5 (DWLWW), while Athletic Bilbao have won 1 of 5 (LWLLD). In their last 1 meetings, Real Madrid won 1, Athletic Bilbao won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
