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FTMatchday 11

RB Leipzig vs Werder Bremen: Prediction

📍 Leipzig Stadium

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
RB LeipzigWerder Bremen
  1. 19'Marco Friedlyellow card
  2. Conrad Harderyellow card41'
  3. Assan Ouédraogoassist Ridle Baku63'
  4. Conrad Harderon68'
  5. Antonio Nusaon68'
  6. 70'Amos Pieperyellow card
  7. 73'Keke Toppon
  8. 73'Cameron Puertason
  9. 73'Marco Grüllon
  10. Xaver Schlagerassist Christoph Baumgartner80'
  11. 89'Senne Lynenon
  12. Yan Diomandeon90'
  13. Assan Ouédraogoon90'
  14. Christoph Baumgartneron90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

RB LeipzigWerder Bremen
  • 52%Possession48%
  • 2Expected goals (xG)1
  • 22Shots16
  • 13Shots on target6
  • 13Corners7
  • 5Fouls7
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides2
  • 5Saves10
  • 519Passes477

Line-ups

RB Leipzig

  • 1Peter Gulacsi
  • 4Willi Orban
  • 14Christoph Baumgartner
  • 17Ridle Baku
  • 22David Raum
  • 13Nicolas Seiwald
  • 23Castello Lukeba
  • 7Antonio Nusa
  • 20Assan Ouédraogo
  • 11Conrad Harder
  • 49Yan Diomande

Werder Bremen

  • 32Marco Friedl
  • 3Yukinari Sugawara
  • 5Amos Pieper
  • 20Romano Schmid
  • 17Marco Grüll
  • 6Jens Stage
  • 18Cameron Puertas
  • 14Senne Lynen
  • 30Mio Backhaus
  • 9Keke Topp
  • 31Abdoul Coulibaly

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1472 – 1489

Recent form

RB LeipzigWDWWW
Werder BremenLWDWD
#TeamPGDPts
1RB Leipzig32+2164
2Werder Bremen32-2329

Head to head

  • Werder Bremen 3–1 RB Leipzig2026-09-05
  • Werder Bremen 1–2 RB Leipzig2026-04-04

Match preview

RB Leipzig host Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga on 23 November 2025. RB Leipzig sit 3rd on 64 points and Werder Bremen are 16th on 29. RB Leipzig have won 4 of their last 5 (WDWWW), while Werder Bremen have won 2 of 5 (LWDWD). In their last 2 meetings, RB Leipzig won 1, Werder Bremen won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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