RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin: Prediction
📍 Red Bull Arena Leipzig
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
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RB LeipzigLLWWL
Union BerlinLWDDD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RB Leipzig | 7 | +6 | 12 |
| 2 | Union Berlin | 7 | -10 | 7 |
Head to head
- RB Leipzig 3–1 Union Berlin2026-04-24
- Union Berlin 3–1 RB Leipzig2025-12-12
Why the model leans RB Leipzig
- RB Leipzig rate higher on our strength scale (1472 vs 1455).
- RB Leipzig are at home, which usually adds a few points of chance.
- Union Berlin won 1 of their last 5.
- Head-to-head in our records: RB Leipzig 1, Union Berlin 1, draws 0.
- League table: RB Leipzig #6, Union Berlin #15.
Match preview
RB Leipzig host Union Berlin in the Bundesliga on 20 March 2027. RB Leipzig sit 6th on 12 points and Union Berlin are 15th on 7. RB Leipzig have won 2 of their last 5 (LLWWL), while Union Berlin have won 1 of 5 (LWDDD). In their last 2 meetings, RB Leipzig won 1, Union Berlin won 1 and 0 ended level. TipKhel's model gives RB Leipzig 63%, the draw 20% and Union Berlin 17%, so RB Leipzig are the slight favourites, with 2-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
