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Kick-off · Matchday 25

RB Leipzig vs Schalke 04: Prediction

📍 Red Bull Arena Leipzig

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score2-1
Expected goals (model)2.22 – 1.08
Team rating (Elo)1482 – 1456

Recent form

RB LeipzigWLLWW
Schalke 04DLLDL
#TeamPGDPts
1RB Leipzig7+612
2Schalke 047-73

Head to head

  • Schalke 04 0–2 RB Leipzig2026-10-31

Why the model leans RB Leipzig

  • RB Leipzig rate higher on our strength scale (1482 vs 1456).
  • RB Leipzig are at home, which usually adds a few points of chance.
  • RB Leipzig won 3 of their last 5.
  • Schalke 04 won 0 of their last 5.
  • League table: RB Leipzig #6, Schalke 04 #18.

Match preview

RB Leipzig host Schalke 04 in the Bundesliga on 6 March 2027. RB Leipzig sit 6th on 12 points and Schalke 04 are 18th on 3. RB Leipzig have won 3 of their last 5 (WLLWW), while Schalke 04 have won 0 of 5 (DLLDL). In their last 1 meetings, RB Leipzig won 1, Schalke 04 won 0 and 0 ended level. TipKhel's model gives RB Leipzig 63%, the draw 20% and Schalke 04 17%, so RB Leipzig are the slight favourites, with 2-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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