RB Leipzig vs Schalke 04: Prediction
📍 Red Bull Arena Leipzig
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | +6 | 12 | |
| 2 | 7 | -7 | 3 |
Head to head
- Schalke 04 0–2 RB Leipzig2026-10-31
Why the model leans RB Leipzig
- RB Leipzig rate higher on our strength scale (1482 vs 1456).
- RB Leipzig are at home, which usually adds a few points of chance.
- RB Leipzig won 3 of their last 5.
- Schalke 04 won 0 of their last 5.
- League table: RB Leipzig #6, Schalke 04 #18.
Match preview
RB Leipzig host Schalke 04 in the Bundesliga on 6 March 2027. RB Leipzig sit 6th on 12 points and Schalke 04 are 18th on 3. RB Leipzig have won 3 of their last 5 (WLLWW), while Schalke 04 have won 0 of 5 (DLLDL). In their last 1 meetings, RB Leipzig won 1, Schalke 04 won 0 and 0 ended level. TipKhel's model gives RB Leipzig 63%, the draw 20% and Schalke 04 17%, so RB Leipzig are the slight favourites, with 2-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

