RB Leipzig vs Mainz: Prediction
📍 Leipzig Stadium
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
3 goals- 14'⇄Benedict Hollerbachon
- 38'Stefan Bellyellow card
- ⚽Conrad Harderassist Antonio Nusa40'
- 45'Stefan Poschyellow card
- 45'⚽Nadiem Amiripenalty
- 49'⚽Silas Katompa Mvumpaassist Phillip Tietz
- ⇄El Chadaille Bitshiabuon59'
- ⇄Ridle Bakuon59'
- ⇄Rômulo Cardoso da Cruzon72'
- 72'⇄Nadiem Amirion
- 82'⇄Silvan Widmeron
- 82'⇄Silvan Widmeron
- 82'⇄Phillip Tietzon
- ⇄Nicolas Seiwaldon86'
- 90'Kacper Potulskiyellow card
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 70%Possession30%
- 1.39Expected goals (xG)2.33
- 15Shots11
- 4Shots on target4
- 5Corners4
- 4Fouls13
- 0Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards0
- 2Offsides2
- 2Saves3
- 697Passes302
Line-ups
RB Leipzig
- 1Peter Gulacsi
- 4Willi Orban
- 17Ridle Baku
- 24Xaver Schlager
- 22David Raum
- 13Nicolas Seiwald
- 5El Chadaille Bitshiabu
- 7Antonio Nusa
- 40Rômulo Cardoso da Cruz
- 11Conrad Harder
- 49Yan Diomande
Mainz
- 16Stefan Bell
- 21Danny da Costa
- 30Silvan Widmer
- 4Stefan Posch
- 10Nadiem Amiri
- 7Jae-Sung Lee
- 20Phillip Tietz
- 17Benedict Hollerbach
- 33Daniel Batz
- 6Kaishu Sano
- 48Kacper Potulski
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
RB LeipzigLWLWD
MainzDDWLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RB Leipzig | 32 | +21 | 64 |
| 2 | Mainz | 32 | -8 | 39 |
Head to head
- Mainz 0–1 RB Leipzig2025-09-13
Match preview
RB Leipzig host Mainz in the Bundesliga on 31 January 2026. RB Leipzig sit 3rd on 64 points and Mainz are 10th on 39. RB Leipzig have won 2 of their last 5 (LWLWD), while Mainz have won 2 of 5 (DDWLW). In their last 1 meetings, RB Leipzig won 1, Mainz won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
