RB Leipzig vs Hoffenheim: Prediction
📍 Red Bull Arena Leipzig
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
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RB LeipzigLLWWL
HoffenheimLLWWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RB Leipzig | 7 | +6 | 12 |
| 2 | Hoffenheim | 7 | -3 | 6 |
Head to head
- RB Leipzig 5–0 Hoffenheim2026-03-20
Why the model leans RB Leipzig
- Hoffenheim rate higher on our strength scale (1501 vs 1472).
- RB Leipzig are at home, which usually adds a few points of chance.
- League table: RB Leipzig #6, Hoffenheim #16.
- Expected goals from the model: RB Leipzig 2.0, Hoffenheim 1.2.
Match preview
RB Leipzig host Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga on 22 May 2027. RB Leipzig sit 6th on 12 points and Hoffenheim are 16th on 6. RB Leipzig have won 2 of their last 5 (LLWWL), while Hoffenheim have won 2 of 5 (LLWWL). In their last 1 meetings, RB Leipzig won 1, Hoffenheim won 0 and 0 ended level. TipKhel's model gives RB Leipzig 57%, the draw 21% and Hoffenheim 22%, so RB Leipzig are the slight favourites, with 2-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
