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FTMatchday 27

RB Leipzig vs Hoffenheim: Prediction

📍 Leipzig Stadium

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

5 goals
RB LeipzigHoffenheim
  1. Willi Orbanyellow card14'
  2. Brajan Gruda17'
  3. Christoph Baumgartnerassist David Raum21'
  4. 23'Bernardoyellow card
  5. Christoph Baumgartnerassist Brajan Gruda30'
  6. Brajan Grudaassist Yan Diomande44'
  7. 46'Fisnik Asllanion
  8. 46'Robin Hranáčon
  9. Yan Diomandeon66'
  10. Xaver Schlageron66'
  11. 69'Tim Lemperleon
  12. 69'Bazoumana Touréon
  13. Ridle Bakuon76'
  14. Rômulo Cardoso da Cruzon76'
  15. 76'Bernardoon
  16. Benjamin Henrichs78'
  17. David Raumon82'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

RB LeipzigHoffenheim
  • 50%Possession50%
  • 2.19Expected goals (xG)0.78
  • 14Shots8
  • 9Shots on target2
  • 1Corners3
  • 8Fouls16
  • 1Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 5Offsides1
  • 2Saves4
  • 451Passes438

Line-ups

RB Leipzig

  • 4Willi Orban
  • 14Christoph Baumgartner
  • 17Ridle Baku
  • 24Xaver Schlager
  • 22David Raum
  • 26Maarten Vandevoordt
  • 13Nicolas Seiwald
  • 23Castello Lukeba
  • 10Brajan Gruda
  • 40Rômulo Cardoso da Cruz
  • 49Yan Diomande

Hoffenheim

  • 1Oliver Baumann
  • 5Ozan Kabak
  • 6Grischa Prömel
  • 13Bernardo
  • 34Vladimír Coufal
  • 18Wouter Burger
  • 19Tim Lemperle
  • 22Alexander Prass
  • 11Fisnik Asllani
  • 2Robin Hranáč
  • 29Bazoumana Touré

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1472 – 1501

Recent form

RB LeipzigWDWWL
HoffenheimLWLWD
#TeamPGDPts
1RB Leipzig32+2164
2Hoffenheim32+1157

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

RB Leipzig host Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga on 20 March 2026. RB Leipzig sit 3rd on 64 points and Hoffenheim are 5th on 57. RB Leipzig have won 3 of their last 5 (WDWWL), while Hoffenheim have won 2 of 5 (LWLWD). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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