RB Leipzig vs Hamburg: Prediction
📍 Leipzig Stadium
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
3 goals- 18'Nicolás Capaldoyellow card
- Christoph Baumgartneryellow card43'
- ⚽Christoph Baumgartnerassist Antonio Nusa45'
- 48'⚽Albert Sambi Lokongaassist Miro Muheim
- ⚽Christoph Baumgartnerassist Rômulo Cardoso da Cruz50'
- ⇄Johan Bakayokoon61'
- ⇄Assan Ouédraogoon61'
- 76'⇄Albert Sambi Lokongaon
- 76'⇄Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörfferon
- ⇄Christoph Baumgartneron78'
- Yan Diomandeyellow card79'
- 84'⇄William Mikelbrencison
- Conrad Harderyellow card90'
- ⇄Antonio Nusaon90'
- ⇄Rômulo Cardoso da Cruzon90'
- 90'⇄Nicolás Capaldoon
- 90'⇄Rayan Philippeon
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 47%Possession53%
- 1Expected goals (xG)2
- 10Shots15
- 4Shots on target3
- 3Corners5
- 10Fouls15
- 3Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 0Offsides1
- 2Saves2
- 468Passes518
Line-ups
RB Leipzig
- 1Peter Gulacsi
- 4Willi Orban
- 14Christoph Baumgartner
- 17Ridle Baku
- 22David Raum
- 13Nicolas Seiwald
- 23Castello Lukeba
- 7Antonio Nusa
- 9Johan Bakayoko
- 40Rômulo Cardoso da Cruz
- 20Assan Ouédraogo
Hamburg
- 7Jean-Luc Dompe
- 14Rayan Philippe
- 1Daniel Fernandes
- 6Albert Sambi Lokonga
- 24Nicolás Capaldo
- 11Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörffer
- 28Miro Muheim
- 2William Mikelbrencis
- 8Daniel Elfadli
- 21Nicolai Remberg
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
RB LeipzigWWWWD
HamburgLLWDW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RB Leipzig | 32 | +21 | 64 |
| 2 | Hamburg | 32 | -14 | 36 |
Head to head
- Hamburg 1–2 RB Leipzig2026-03-01
Match preview
RB Leipzig host Hamburg in the Bundesliga on 18 October 2025. RB Leipzig sit 3rd on 64 points and Hamburg are 11th on 36. RB Leipzig have won 4 of their last 5 (WWWWD), while Hamburg have won 2 of 5 (LLWDW). In their last 1 meetings, RB Leipzig won 1, Hamburg won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
