RB Leipzig vs Freiburg: Prediction
📍 Leipzig Stadium
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
2 goals- 14'Yuito Suzukiyellow card
- 52'Philipp Treuyellow card
- ⚽Willi Orbanassist David Raum53'
- 55'⇄Yuito Suzukion
- ⚽Rômulo Cardoso da Cruz56'
- ⇄Tidiam Gomison60'
- ⇄Assan Ouédraogoon60'
- 65'⇄Philipp Treuon
- 65'⇄Lucas Höleron
- ⇄Rômulo Cardoso da Cruzon74'
- 77'Jan-Niklas Besteyellow card
- 85'⇄Christian Gunteron
- 85'⇄Patrick Osterhageon
- ⇄Christoph Baumgartneron88'
- ⇄Castello Lukebaon88'
- 90'Maximilian Eggesteinyellow card
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 64%Possession36%
- 2.24Expected goals (xG)0.17
- 21Shots3
- 7Shots on target1
- 7Corners2
- 12Fouls16
- 0Yellow cards4
- 0Red cards0
- 0Offsides2
- 1Saves5
- 552Passes315
Line-ups
RB Leipzig
- 1Peter Gulacsi
- 4Willi Orban
- 14Christoph Baumgartner
- 17Ridle Baku
- 24Xaver Schlager
- 22David Raum
- 13Nicolas Seiwald
- 23Castello Lukeba
- 40Rômulo Cardoso da Cruz
- 20Assan Ouédraogo
- 27Tidiam Gomis
Freiburg
- 30Christian Gunter
- 8Maximilian Eggestein
- 9Lucas Höler
- 17Lukas Kübler
- 5Anthony Jung
- 14Yuito Suzuki
- 6Patrick Osterhage
- 1Noah Atubolu
- 29Philipp Treu
- 43Bruno Ogbus
- 44Johan Manzambi
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
RB LeipzigWDWLL
FreiburgWLDWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RB Leipzig | 32 | +21 | 64 |
| 2 | Freiburg | 32 | -8 | 41 |
Head to head
- Freiburg 4–1 RB Leipzig2026-05-16
Match preview
RB Leipzig host Freiburg in the Bundesliga on 14 January 2026. RB Leipzig sit 3rd on 64 points and Freiburg are 8th on 41. RB Leipzig have won 2 of their last 5 (WDWLL), while Freiburg have won 3 of 5 (WLDWW). In their last 1 meetings, RB Leipzig won 0, Freiburg won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
