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FTMatchday 4

RB Leipzig vs Köln: Prediction

📍 Leipzig Stadium

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals
RB LeipzigKöln
  1. Assan Ouédraogo13'
  2. 23'Jan Thielmannassist Eric Martel
  3. Rômulo Cardoso da Cruz44'
  4. 45'Eric Martelyellow card
  5. David Raum45'
  6. 46'Marius Bülteron
  7. Assan Ouédraogoon58'
  8. 58'Jan Thielmannon
  9. 59'Luca Waldschmidton
  10. 59'Eric Martelon
  11. Ridle Bakuyellow card69'
  12. 72'Sebastian Sebulonsenon
  13. Ridle Bakuon80'
  14. Johan Bakayokoon80'
  15. Yan Diomandeon90'
  16. Christoph Baumgartneron90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

RB LeipzigKöln
  • 47%Possession53%
  • 3Expected goals (xG)2
  • 18Shots13
  • 8Shots on target2
  • 9Corners5
  • 10Fouls8
  • 1Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Offsides0
  • 0Saves5
  • 421Passes474

Line-ups

RB Leipzig

  • 1Peter Gulacsi
  • 4Willi Orban
  • 14Christoph Baumgartner
  • 17Ridle Baku
  • 22David Raum
  • 13Nicolas Seiwald
  • 23Castello Lukeba
  • 9Johan Bakayoko
  • 40Rômulo Cardoso da Cruz
  • 20Assan Ouédraogo
  • 49Yan Diomande

Köln

  • 1Marvin Schwabe
  • 7Luca Waldschmidt
  • 29Jan Thielmann
  • 30Marius Bülter
  • 5Tom Krauß
  • 4Timo Hübers
  • 6Eric Martel
  • 18Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
  • 16Jakub Kamiński
  • 28Sebastian Sebulonsen
  • 2Joël Schmied

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1472 – 1442

Recent form

RB LeipzigLWW
KölnWWD
#TeamPGDPts
1RB Leipzig32+2164
2Köln32-1231

Head to head

  • Köln 1–2 RB Leipzig2026-02-08

Match preview

RB Leipzig host Köln in the Bundesliga on 20 September 2025. RB Leipzig sit 3rd on 64 points and Köln are 14th on 31. RB Leipzig have won 2 of their last 3 (LWW), while Köln have won 2 of 3 (WWD). In their last 1 meetings, RB Leipzig won 1, Köln won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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