RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich: Prediction
📍 Leipzig Stadium
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
6 goals- ⚽Rômulo Cardoso da Cruzassist David Raum20'
- Nicolas Seiwaldyellow card29'
- 46'⇄Leon Goretzkaon
- 50'⚽Serge Gnabryassist Dayot Upamecano
- 57'⇄Lennart Karlon
- 67'⚽Harry Kaneassist Michael Olise
- ⇄Rômulo Cardoso da Cruzon81'
- ⇄Nicolas Seiwaldon81'
- 81'⇄Tom Bischofon
- 83'⚽Jonathan Tahassist Michael Olise
- ⇄Christoph Baumgartneron85'
- 85'⚽Aleksandar Pavlovićassist Michael Olise
- 87'⇄Serge Gnabryon
- 87'⇄Hiroki Itoon
- 88'⚽Michael Oliseassist Jamal Musiala
- ⇄Antonio Nusaon90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 42%Possession58%
- 2.43Expected goals (xG)4.50
- 17Shots19
- 4Shots on target12
- 5Corners9
- 7Fouls6
- 1Yellow cards0
- 0Red cards0
- 0Offsides2
- 7Saves3
- 432Passes610
Line-ups
RB Leipzig
- 1Peter Gulacsi
- 4Willi Orban
- 14Christoph Baumgartner
- 17Ridle Baku
- 24Xaver Schlager
- 22David Raum
- 13Nicolas Seiwald
- 23Castello Lukeba
- 7Antonio Nusa
- 40Rômulo Cardoso da Cruz
- 49Yan Diomande
Bayern Munich
- 7Serge Gnabry
- 9Harry Kane
- 1Manuel Neuer
- 4Jonathan Tah
- 8Leon Goretzka
- 2Dayot Upamecano
- 14Luis Díaz
- 21Hiroki Ito
- 20Tom Bischof
- 45Aleksandar Pavlović
- 42Lennart Karl
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
RB LeipzigDWLLW
Bayern MunichWDWWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 32 | +85 | 85 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 32 | +21 | 64 |
Head to head
- Bayern Munich 6–1 RB Leipzig2026-10-17
- Bayern Munich 6–0 RB Leipzig2025-08-22
Match preview
RB Leipzig host Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga on 17 January 2026. RB Leipzig sit 3rd on 64 points and Bayern Munich are 1st on 85. RB Leipzig have won 2 of their last 5 (DWLLW), while Bayern Munich have won 4 of 5 (WDWWW). In their last 2 meetings, RB Leipzig won 0, Bayern Munich won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
