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FTMatchday 15

RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen: Prediction

📍 Leipzig Stadium

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
RB LeipzigBayer Leverkusen
  1. 30'Arthuryellow card
  2. Xaver Schlagerassist Christoph Baumgartner35'
  3. 40'Martin Terrierassist Arthur
  4. 44'Patrik Schickassist Nathan Tella
  5. 57'Jonas Hofmannon
  6. Rômulo Cardoso da Cruzon70'
  7. Kosta Nedeljkovićon70'
  8. 77'Nathan Tellaon
  9. 77'Patrik Schickon
  10. 77'Martin Terrieron
  11. Tidiam Gomison79'
  12. 83'Arthuron
  13. 87'Axel Tapeyellow card
  14. Nicolas Seiwaldon89'
  15. Castello Lukebayellow card90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

RB LeipzigBayer Leverkusen
  • 44%Possession56%
  • 2Expected goals (xG)3
  • 19Shots15
  • 7Shots on target8
  • 2Corners8
  • 10Fouls12
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides1
  • 5Saves6
  • 474Passes608

Line-ups

RB Leipzig

  • 1Peter Gulacsi
  • 4Willi Orban
  • 14Christoph Baumgartner
  • 24Xaver Schlager
  • 22David Raum
  • 13Nicolas Seiwald
  • 23Castello Lukeba
  • 40Rômulo Cardoso da Cruz
  • 19Kosta Nedeljković
  • 11Conrad Harder
  • 27Tidiam Gomis

Bayer Leverkusen

  • 7Jonas Hofmann
  • 14Patrik Schick
  • 1Mark Flekken
  • 8Robert Andrich
  • 23Nathan Tella
  • 11Martin Terrier
  • 5Loïc Badé
  • 24Aleix García
  • 10Malik Tillman
  • 44Jeanuël Belocian
  • 13Arthur

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1472 – 1506

Recent form

RB LeipzigWWDWL
Bayer LeverkusenWWLLW
#TeamPGDPts
1RB Leipzig32+2164
2Bayer Leverkusen32+1656

Head to head

  • Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 RB Leipzig2026-09-20
  • Bayer Leverkusen 4–1 RB Leipzig2026-05-02

Match preview

RB Leipzig host Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga on 20 December 2025. RB Leipzig sit 3rd on 64 points and Bayer Leverkusen are 6th on 56. RB Leipzig have won 3 of their last 5 (WWDWL), while Bayer Leverkusen have won 3 of 5 (WWLLW). In their last 2 meetings, RB Leipzig won 0, Bayer Leverkusen won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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