FTMatchday 37

Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal: Prediction

📍 Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano2

Villarreal0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals

Rayo VallecanoVillarreal

Sergio Camelloassist Andrei Rațiu28'
46'Tajon Buchananon
Alemãoassist Oscar Trejo47'
Florian Lejeuneyellow card61'
63'Tanitoluwa Oluwaseyion
64'Santi Comesañaon
Oscar Trejoon66'
72'Pape Gueyeon
Sergio Camelloon73'
Alemãoon74'
77'Willy Kambwalaon
Pep Chavarríaon81'
Unai Lopezyellow card82'
Unai Lopezon82'
90'Santiago Mouriñoyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Rayo VallecanoVillarreal

53%Possession47%
1.53Expected goals (xG)1
15Shots11
7Shots on target2
1Corners9
12Fouls10
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Offsides0
2Saves5
472Passes403

Line-ups

Rayo Vallecano

17Unai Lopez
8Oscar Trejo
24Florian Lejeune
19Jorge de Frutos
2Andrei Rațiu
23Óscar Valentín
3Pep Chavarría
6Pathé Ciss
10Sergio Camello
9Alemão
13Augusto Batalla

Villarreal

22Ayoze Pérez
17Tajon Buchanan
18Pape Gueye
14Santi Comesaña
21Tanitoluwa Oluwaseyi
25Arnau Tenas
23Sergi Cardona
20Alberto Moleiro
15Santiago Mouriño
4Rafa Marín
5Willy Kambwala

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1502 – 1450

Recent form

Rayo VallecanoWDWDD

VillarrealDWWDL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Villarreal	35	+23	66
2	Rayo Vallecano	35	-2	48

Head to head

Villarreal 4–0 Rayo Vallecano2025-11-01

Match preview

Rayo Vallecano host Villarreal in the La Liga on 17 May 2026. Rayo Vallecano sit 6th on 48 points and Villarreal are 3rd on 66. Rayo Vallecano have won 2 of their last 5 (WDWDD), while Villarreal have won 2 of 5 (DWWDL). In their last 1 meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 0, Villarreal won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.