Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia: Prediction
📍 Estadio de Vallecas
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
2 goals- ⚽Nobel Mendyassist Gerard Gumbau37'
- 57'⇄Javi Guerraon
- 64'⚽Diego López
- ⇄Fran Pérezon69'
- ⇄Unai Lopezon69'
- 71'Thierry Correiayellow card
- 74'⇄Hugo Duroon
- 74'⇄Luis Riojaon
- ⇄Jorge de Frutoson83'
- ⇄Nobel Mendyon83'
- Alemãoyellow card90'
- ⇄Alvaro Garciaon90'
- 90'⇄Pepeluon
- 90'⇄Diego Lópezon
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 56%Possession44%
- 2Expected goals (xG)1
- 19Shots10
- 7Shots on target2
- 10Corners5
- 11Fouls9
- 1Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 1Offsides0
- 0Saves5
- 441Passes350
Line-ups
Rayo Vallecano
- 17Unai Lopez
- 18Alvaro Garcia
- 24Florian Lejeune
- 15Gerard Gumbau
- 19Jorge de Frutos
- 2Andrei Rațiu
- 23Óscar Valentín
- 3Pep Chavarría
- 21Fran Pérez
- 13Augusto Batalla
- 32Nobel Mendy
Valencia
- 14Jose Luis Gaya
- 11Luis Rioja
- 12Thierry Correia
- 9Hugo Duro
- 18Pepelu
- 25Julen Agirrezabala
- 16Diego López
- 3José Copete
- 10André Almeida
- 8Javi Guerra
- 5César Tárrega Requeni
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Rayo VallecanoWWWLD
ValenciaLDLLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | -2 | 48 |
| 2 | Valencia | 35 | -10 | 43 |
Head to head
- Valencia 1–1 Rayo Vallecano2026-05-14
Match preview
Rayo Vallecano host Valencia in the La Liga on 1 December 2025. Rayo Vallecano sit 6th on 48 points and Valencia are 10th on 43. Rayo Vallecano have won 3 of their last 5 (WWWLD), while Valencia have won 0 of 5 (LDLLD). In their last 1 meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 0, Valencia won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
