Kick-off · Sun, 17 Jan, 09:30 pm ISTMatchday 20
Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla: Prediction
Rayo Vallecano46%Home win
Sevilla46% Home win26% Draw28% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.51 – 1.12
Team rating (Elo)1486 – 1481
Recent form
Rayo VallecanoLWDDLSevillaWLDLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sevilla | 9 | -1 | 14 |
| 2 | Rayo Vallecano | 8 | -7 | 9 |
Head to head
- Sevilla 1–1 Rayo Vallecano2026-03-08
- Rayo Vallecano 0–1 Sevilla2025-09-28
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
