Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad: Prediction
📍 Estadio de Vallecas
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
6 goals- Nobel Mendyyellow card-5'
- Isi Palazónred card-5'
- -5'Takefusa Kuboyellow card
- 22'⚽Mikel Oyarzabalassist Ander Barrenetxea
- Isi Palazónyellow card29'
- ⚽Sergio Camello30'
- 45'Sergio Gómezyellow card
- Pathé Cissyellow card49'
- 56'Orri Óskarssonyellow card
- 56'⇄Takefusa Kuboon
- 56'⇄Ander Barrenetxeaon
- 63'⚽Orri Óskarssonassist Sergio Gómez
- ⇄Carlos Martínon64'
- ⇄Nobel Mendyon64'
- ⇄Sergio Camelloon64'
- 67'⇄Orri Óskarssonon
- 67'⇄Beñat Turrienteson
- ⇄Isi Palazónon68'
- Andrei Rațiuyellow card75'
- 76'⚽Mikel Oyarzabalpenalty
- ⇄Unai Lopezon82'
- ⚽Florian Lejeune84'
- Alemãoyellow card90'
- Florian Lejeuneyellow card90'
- 90'Carlos Soleryellow card
- 90'⇄Sergio Gómezon
- ⚽Alemãoassist Pedro Díaz90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 58%Possession42%
- 2.22Expected goals (xG)1.79
- 24Shots13
- 9Shots on target8
- 6Corners4
- 14Fouls12
- 6Yellow cards4
- 1Red cards0
- 0Offsides2
- 5Saves6
- 411Passes299
Line-ups
Rayo Vallecano
- 17Unai Lopez
- 24Florian Lejeune
- 1Dani Cárdenas
- 2Andrei Rațiu
- 7Isi Palazón
- 3Pep Chavarría
- 6Pathé Ciss
- 12Ilias Akhomach
- 10Sergio Camello
- 14Carlos Martín
- 32Nobel Mendy
Real Sociedad
- 10Mikel Oyarzabal
- 1Álex Remiro
- 17Sergio Gómez
- 18Carlos Soler
- 14Takefusa Kubo
- 7Ander Barrenetxea
- 16Duje Ćaleta-Car
- 8Beñat Turrientes
- 9Orri Óskarsson
- 2Jon Aramburu
- 31Jon Martín
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Rayo VallecanoDLWLW
Real SociedadWLWDL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | -2 | 48 |
| 2 | Real Sociedad | 35 | -5 | 39 |
Head to head
- Real Sociedad 0–1 Rayo Vallecano2025-10-05
Match preview
Rayo Vallecano host Real Sociedad in the La Liga on 26 April 2026. Rayo Vallecano sit 6th on 48 points and Real Sociedad are 18th on 39. Rayo Vallecano have won 2 of their last 5 (DLWLW), while Real Sociedad have won 2 of 5 (WLWDL). In their last 1 meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 1, Real Sociedad won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
