FTMatchday 23

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo: Prediction

📍 Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano3

Real Oviedo0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals

Rayo VallecanoReal Oviedo

35'Kwasi Siboyellow card
Jorge de Frutos44'
46'Kwasi Siboon
46'Ilyas Chairaon
Jorge de Frutospenalty50'
53'Alberto Reinayellow card
61'Haissem Hassanon
61'Santiago Colombattoon
Alvaro Garcia62'
Pedro Díazon65'
Jorge de Frutoson65'
Ilias Akhomachon69'
74'Federico Viñason
Alvaro Garciaon88'
Pathé Cisson88'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Rayo VallecanoReal Oviedo

52%Possession48%
2.45Expected goals (xG)0.99
19Shots8
7Shots on target2
12Corners2
10Fouls10
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Offsides1
2Saves4
393Passes357

Line-ups

Rayo Vallecano

17Unai Lopez
18Alvaro Garcia
24Florian Lejeune
5Luiz Felipe
19Jorge de Frutos
2Andrei Rațiu
4Pedro Díaz
3Pep Chavarría
6Pathé Ciss
12Ilias Akhomach
13Augusto Batalla

Real Oviedo

25Javi López
12Dani Calvo
11Santiago Colombatto
13Aarón Escandell
16David Carmo
10Haissem Hassan
24Lucas Ahijado
9Federico Viñas
7Ilyas Chaira
5Alberto Reina
6Kwasi Sibo

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1502 – 1427

Recent form

Rayo VallecanoLLLWD

Real OviedoLLWLD

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Rayo Vallecano	35	-2	48
2	Real Oviedo	35	-30	28

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Rayo Vallecano host Real Oviedo in the La Liga on 4 March 2026. Rayo Vallecano sit 6th on 48 points and Real Oviedo are 20th on 28. Rayo Vallecano have won 1 of their last 5 (LLLWD), while Real Oviedo have won 1 of 5 (LLWLD). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.