Kick-off · Sun, 7 Mar, 09:30 pm ISTMatchday 27
Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna: Prediction
Rayo Vallecano53%Home win
Osasuna53% Home win24% Draw23% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.68 – 1.01
Team rating (Elo)1486 – 1431
Recent form
Rayo VallecanoLWDDLOsasunaLDLWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rayo Vallecano | 8 | -7 | 9 |
| 2 | Osasuna | 9 | -11 | 8 |
Head to head
- Osasuna 1–1 Rayo Vallecano2026-09-19
- Rayo Vallecano 1–3 Osasuna2026-01-24
- Osasuna 2–0 Rayo Vallecano2025-09-14
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
