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FTMatchday 21

Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna: Prediction

📍 Estadio de Vallecas

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals
Rayo VallecanoOsasuna
  1. 29'Ante Budimirassist Jorge Herrando
  2. 38'Iker Muñozyellow card
  3. Óscar Valentínon46'
  4. Carlos Martínon46'
  5. Pathé Cissassist Isi Palazón59'
  6. Pedro Díazyellow card66'
  7. 67'Iker Muñozon
  8. Jorge de Frutoson72'
  9. Isi Palazónon72'
  10. 79'Jorge Herrandoyellow card
  11. 81'Aimar Orozon
  12. 81'Ante Budimiron
  13. Pathé Cissyellow card90'
  14. Alvaro Garciaon90'
  15. 90'Víctor Muñozon
  16. 90'Jozhua Vertrouwdown goal
  17. 90'Asier Osambelaassist Jon Moncayola

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Rayo VallecanoOsasuna
  • 67%Possession33%
  • 0.77Expected goals (xG)1.22
  • 11Shots14
  • 4Shots on target5
  • 4Corners3
  • 12Fouls15
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides2
  • 3Saves3
  • 456Passes226

Line-ups

Rayo Vallecano

  • 18Alvaro Garcia
  • 24Florian Lejeune
  • 22Alfonso Espino
  • 19Jorge de Frutos
  • 4Pedro Díaz
  • 7Isi Palazón
  • 23Óscar Valentín
  • 3Pep Chavarría
  • 6Pathé Ciss
  • 14Carlos Martín
  • 13Augusto Batalla

Osasuna

  • 14Ruben Garcia
  • 20Javi Galán
  • 17Ante Budimir
  • 1Sergio Herrera
  • 7Jon Moncayola
  • 19Valentin Rosier
  • 10Aimar Oroz
  • 5Jorge Herrando
  • 22Flavien Enzo Boyomo
  • 8Iker Muñoz
  • 21Víctor Muñoz

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1502 – 1425

Recent form

Rayo VallecanoDLDWL
OsasunaLWDLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Rayo Vallecano35-248
2Osasuna35-439

Head to head

  • Osasuna 1–1 Rayo Vallecano2026-09-19
  • Osasuna 2–0 Rayo Vallecano2025-09-14

Match preview

Rayo Vallecano host Osasuna in the La Liga on 24 January 2026. Rayo Vallecano sit 6th on 48 points and Osasuna are 17th on 39. Rayo Vallecano have won 1 of their last 5 (DLDWL), while Osasuna have won 2 of 5 (LWDLW). In their last 2 meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 0, Osasuna won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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