FTMatchday 6

Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol: Prediction

Rayo Vallecano2

Espanyol1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals

Rayo VallecanoEspanyol

Alvaro Garcia3'
Adrià Pedrosaassist Alvaro Garcia26'
Unai Lopezyellow card45'
45'Roger Hinojo Estradaon
45'Rafel Bauzàon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1502 – 1438

Recent form

Rayo VallecanoWDLWL

EspanyolDLLDW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Rayo Vallecano	9	-4	12
2	Espanyol	10	-4	8

Head to head

Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Espanyol2026-04-23
Espanyol 1–0 Rayo Vallecano2025-12-07

Match preview

Rayo Vallecano host Espanyol in the La Liga on 15 September 2026. Rayo Vallecano sit 9th on 12 points and Espanyol are 17th on 8. Rayo Vallecano have won 2 of their last 5 (WDLWL), while Espanyol have won 1 of 5 (DLLDW). In their last 2 meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 1, Espanyol won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.