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FTMatchday 33

Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol: Prediction

📍 Estadio de Vallecas

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
Rayo VallecanoEspanyol
  1. Augusto Batallayellow card-5'
  2. 2'Pere Millayellow card
  3. 19'Pol Lozanoyellow card
  4. 46'Pol Lozanoon
  5. Pathé Cissyellow card50'
  6. Alfonso Espinoon58'
  7. 67'Roberto Fernándezon
  8. 75'Leandro Cabrerayellow card
  9. Óscar Valentínon76'
  10. Alemãoon76'
  11. 78'Tyrhys Dolanon
  12. 78'Fernando Caleroon
  13. Jozhua Vertrouwdon81'
  14. Pedro Díazon81'
  15. 83'Cyril Ngongeyellow card
  16. Sergio Camelloassist Ilias Akhomach87'
  17. 90'Pere Millaon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Rayo VallecanoEspanyol
  • 53%Possession47%
  • 1.67Expected goals (xG)1.97
  • 17Shots15
  • 6Shots on target4
  • 6Corners5
  • 12Fouls15
  • 2Yellow cards4
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Offsides0
  • 4Saves5
  • 335Passes295

Line-ups

Rayo Vallecano

  • 22Alfonso Espino
  • 19Jorge de Frutos
  • 1Dani Cárdenas
  • 2Andrei Rațiu
  • 4Pedro Díaz
  • 7Isi Palazón
  • 23Óscar Valentín
  • 3Pep Chavarría
  • 6Pathé Ciss
  • 9Alemão
  • 33Jozhua Vertrouwd

Espanyol

  • 19Kike Garcia
  • 6Leandro Cabrera
  • 5Fernando Calero
  • 13Marko Dmitrović
  • 8Edu Expósito
  • 10Pol Lozano
  • 11Pere Milla
  • 24Tyrhys Dolan
  • 23Omar El Hilali
  • 22Carlos Romero
  • 9Roberto Fernández

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1502 – 1438

Recent form

Rayo VallecanoDDLWL
EspanyolDLLDL
#TeamPGDPts
1Rayo Vallecano35-248
2Espanyol35-1341

Head to head

  • Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Espanyol2026-09-15
  • Espanyol 1–0 Rayo Vallecano2025-12-07

Match preview

Rayo Vallecano host Espanyol in the La Liga on 23 April 2026. Rayo Vallecano sit 6th on 48 points and Espanyol are 14th on 41. Rayo Vallecano have won 1 of their last 5 (DDLWL), while Espanyol have won 0 of 5 (DLLDL). In their last 2 meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 1, Espanyol won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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