Rayo Vallecano vs Elche: Prediction
📍 Estadio de Vallecas
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
1 goal- 22'Pedro Bigasyellow card
- 39'Pedro Bigasyellow card
- 39'Pedro Bigasred card
- 45'Rafa Miryellow card
- 46'⇄Rafa Miron
- 63'Álvaro Rodríguezyellow card
- ⇄Isi Palazónon66'
- ⇄Óscar Valentínon66'
- ⚽Randy Ntekaassist Alvaro Garcia74'
- 77'⇄Álvaro Rodríguezon
- 77'⇄Marc Aguadoon
- 77'⇄Aleix Febason
- ⇄Alemãoon83'
- 83'⇄Buba Sangaréon
- ⇄Alvaro Garciaon84'
- ⇄Jorge de Frutoson90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 52%Possession48%
- 0.60Expected goals (xG)0.27
- 7Shots7
- 2Shots on target3
- 6Corners3
- 4Fouls5
- 0Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards1
- 0Offsides0
- 3Saves1
- 158Passes152
Line-ups
Rayo Vallecano
- 17Unai Lopez
- 18Alvaro Garcia
- 24Florian Lejeune
- 5Luiz Felipe
- 19Jorge de Frutos
- 2Andrei Rațiu
- 7Isi Palazón
- 23Óscar Valentín
- 3Pep Chavarría
- 9Alemão
- 13Augusto Batalla
Elche
- 10Rafa Mir
- 6Pedro Bigas
- 15Tete Morente
- 14Aleix Febas
- 22David Affengruber
- 1Matías Dituro
- 21Léo Pétrot
- 11Germán Valera
- 8Marc Aguado
- 20Álvaro Rodríguez
- 42Buba Sangaré
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Rayo VallecanoDWDDL
ElcheDLLLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | -2 | 48 |
| 2 | Elche | 35 | -8 | 40 |
Head to head
- Rayo Vallecano 0–3 Elche2026-10-24
- Elche 4–0 Rayo Vallecano2025-12-21
Match preview
Rayo Vallecano host Elche in the La Liga on 3 April 2026. Rayo Vallecano sit 6th on 48 points and Elche are 15th on 40. Rayo Vallecano have won 1 of their last 5 (DWDDL), while Elche have won 1 of 5 (DLLLW). In their last 2 meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 0, Elche won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
