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FTMatchday 2

Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alavés: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1502 – 1462

Recent form

Rayo VallecanoWDDWW
Deportivo AlavésLDWWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Rayo Vallecano9-412
2Deportivo Alavés10-59

Head to head

  • Deportivo Alavés 1–2 Rayo Vallecano2026-05-23
  • Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Deportivo Alavés2025-10-26

Match preview

Rayo Vallecano host Deportivo Alavés in the La Liga on 20 August 2026. Rayo Vallecano sit 9th on 12 points and Deportivo Alavés are 15th on 9. Rayo Vallecano have won 3 of their last 5 (WDDWW), while Deportivo Alavés have won 2 of 5 (LDWWL). In their last 2 meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 2, Deportivo Alavés won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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