FTMatchday 10

Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alavés: Prediction

📍 Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano1

Deportivo Alavés0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal

Rayo VallecanoDeportivo Alavés

Unai Lopezyellow card28'
34'Antonio Blancoyellow card
46'Jon Pachecoon
53'Denis Suárezyellow card
57'Antonio Blancoon
57'Carlos Vicenteon
Fran Pérezon61'
Unai Lopezon61'
70'Denis Suárezon
72'Pablo Ibáñezyellow card
Óscar Valentínon83'
Jorge de Frutoson83'
84'Toni Martínezon
Alemãoon90'
Alemãoassist Pep Chavarría90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Rayo VallecanoDeportivo Alavés

54%Possession46%
1Expected goals (xG)1
15Shots12
5Shots on target2
7Corners5
13Fouls11
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Offsides0
2Saves4
419Passes358

Line-ups

Rayo Vallecano

17Unai Lopez
24Florian Lejeune
19Jorge de Frutos
2Andrei Rațiu
4Pedro Díaz
23Óscar Valentín
3Pep Chavarría
21Fran Pérez
9Alemão
13Augusto Batalla
32Nobel Mendy

Deportivo Alavés

11Toni Martínez
4Denis Suárez
10Carles Aleñá
1Antonio Sivera
15Lucas Boyé
17Jonathan Otto
8Antonio Blanco
5Jon Pacheco
14Nahuel Tenaglia
7Carlos Vicente
3Youssef Enríquez

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1502 – 1462

Recent form

Rayo VallecanoDLLWW

Deportivo AlavésLDLWD

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Rayo Vallecano	35	-2	48
2	Deportivo Alavés	35	-8	43

Head to head

Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Deportivo Alavés2026-08-20
Deportivo Alavés 1–2 Rayo Vallecano2026-05-23

Match preview

Rayo Vallecano host Deportivo Alavés in the La Liga on 26 October 2025. Rayo Vallecano sit 6th on 48 points and Deportivo Alavés are 9th on 43. Rayo Vallecano have won 2 of their last 5 (DLLWW), while Deportivo Alavés have won 1 of 5 (LDLWD). In their last 2 meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 1, Deportivo Alavés won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.