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FTMatchday 5

Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo: Prediction

📍 Estadio de Vallecas

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
Rayo VallecanoCelta Vigo
  1. Isi Palazónyellow card40'
  2. 49'Borja Iglesiasassist Javi Rueda
  3. 55'Javi Ruedayellow card
  4. Sergio Camelloon60'
  5. Alfonso Espinoon60'
  6. 60'Hugo Álvarezon
  7. 60'Javi Ruedaon
  8. Jorge de Frutosassist Alvaro Garcia65'
  9. Isi Palazónon68'
  10. 71'Hugo Soteloon
  11. 79'Bryan Zaragozaon
  12. 79'Mihailo Ristićon
  13. Jorge de Frutoson90'
  14. Pedro Díazon90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Rayo VallecanoCelta Vigo
  • 59%Possession41%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)1
  • 15Shots9
  • 5Shots on target5
  • 5Corners7
  • 8Fouls10
  • 1Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides0
  • 4Saves4
  • 530Passes370

Line-ups

Rayo Vallecano

  • 18Alvaro Garcia
  • 24Florian Lejeune
  • 22Alfonso Espino
  • 19Jorge de Frutos
  • 2Andrei Rațiu
  • 4Pedro Díaz
  • 7Isi Palazón
  • 23Óscar Valentín
  • 6Pathé Ciss
  • 10Sergio Camello
  • 13Augusto Batalla

Celta Vigo

  • 7Borja Iglesias
  • 13Ionuț Radu
  • 8Fran Beltrán
  • 5Sergio Carreira
  • 21Mihailo Ristić
  • 22Hugo Sotelo
  • 15Bryan Zaragoza
  • 23Hugo Álvarez
  • 29Yoel Lago
  • 17Javi Rueda
  • 12Manu Fernández

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1502 – 1492

Recent form

Rayo VallecanoWDL
Celta VigoLDDD
#TeamPGDPts
1Rayo Vallecano35-248
2Celta Vigo35+347

Head to head

  • Rayo Vallecano 3–0 Celta Vigo2026-10-31
  • Celta Vigo 3–0 Rayo Vallecano2026-01-18

Match preview

Rayo Vallecano host Celta Vigo in the La Liga on 21 September 2025. Rayo Vallecano sit 6th on 48 points and Celta Vigo are 7th on 47. Rayo Vallecano have won 1 of their last 3 (WDL), while Celta Vigo have won 0 of 4 (LDDD). In their last 2 meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 1, Celta Vigo won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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