FTMatchday 3

Rayo Vallecano vs Barcelona: Prediction

📍 Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano1

Barcelona1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals

Rayo VallecanoBarcelona

Oscar Trejoyellow card-5'
Augusto Batallayellow card38'
40'Lamine Yamalpenalty
Unai Lopezyellow card45'
56'Jules Koundéyellow card
Unai Lopezon59'
62'Raphinhaon
62'Dani Olmoon
Fran Pérezassist Isi Palazón67'
Jorge de Frutoson76'
Luiz Felipeon76'
78'Alejandro Baldeon
78'Ferran Torreson
Pep Chavarríayellow card90'
Isi Palazónon90'
Alvaro Garciaon90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Rayo VallecanoBarcelona

44%Possession56%
2Expected goals (xG)2
13Shots12
7Shots on target3
9Corners4
16Fouls8
4Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
7Offsides2
2Saves6
340Passes442

Line-ups

Rayo Vallecano

17Unai Lopez
18Alvaro Garcia
24Florian Lejeune
5Luiz Felipe
19Jorge de Frutos
2Andrei Rațiu
4Pedro Díaz
7Isi Palazón
3Pep Chavarría
6Pathé Ciss
13Augusto Batalla

Barcelona

15Andreas Christensen
11Raphinha
7Ferran Torres
23Jules Koundé
21Frenkie de Jong
20Dani Olmo
24Eric García
8Pedri
3Alejandro Balde
13Joan García
10Lamine Yamal

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1502 – 1540

Recent form

Rayo VallecanoW

BarcelonaW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	35	+51	85
2	Rayo Vallecano	35	-2	48

Head to head

Barcelona 5–2 Rayo Vallecano2026-08-31
Barcelona 1–0 Rayo Vallecano2026-03-22

Match preview

Rayo Vallecano host Barcelona in the La Liga on 31 August 2025. Rayo Vallecano sit 6th on 48 points and Barcelona are 1st on 85. Rayo Vallecano have won 1 of their last 1 (W), while Barcelona have won 1 of 1 (W). In their last 2 meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 0, Barcelona won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.