FTMatchday 24

Rayo Vallecano vs Atlético Madrid: Prediction

📍 Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano3

Atlético Madrid0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals

Rayo VallecanoAtlético Madrid

29'Johnny Cardosoyellow card
Fran Pérezassist Andrei Rațiu40'
Óscar Valentín45'
52'Rodrigo Mendozayellow card
56'Rodrigo Mendozaon
56'Matteo Ruggerion
56'Álex Baenaon
63'Johnny Cardosoon
63'Clément Lengleton
Jorge de Frutoson64'
Isi Palazónon64'
Fran Pérezon64'
70'Marcos Llorenteyellow card
Ilias Akhomachon74'
Nobel Mendyassist Alvaro Garcia76'
Gerard Gumbauon83'
Alvaro Garciayellow card90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Rayo VallecanoAtlético Madrid

41%Possession59%
1.56Expected goals (xG)1.10
13Shots9
9Shots on target4
4Corners8
10Fouls13
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
3Offsides0
3Saves6
355Passes487

Line-ups

Rayo Vallecano

24Florian Lejeune
15Gerard Gumbau
22Alfonso Espino
19Jorge de Frutos
2Andrei Rațiu
7Isi Palazón
23Óscar Valentín
12Ilias Akhomach
21Fran Pérez
13Augusto Batalla
32Nobel Mendy

Atlético Madrid

13Jan Oblak
2José María Giménez
15Clément Lenglet
9Alexander Sørloth
16Nahuel Molina
3Matteo Ruggeri
23Nicolás González
10Álex Baena
5Johnny Cardoso
11Thiago Almada
4Rodrigo Mendoza

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1502 – 1501

Recent form

Rayo VallecanoDWLLL

Atlético MadridDWWDL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Atlético Madrid	35	+16	62
2	Rayo Vallecano	35	-2	48

Head to head

Atlético Madrid 3–2 Rayo Vallecano2025-09-24

Match preview

Rayo Vallecano host Atlético Madrid in the La Liga on 15 February 2026. Rayo Vallecano sit 6th on 48 points and Atlético Madrid are 4th on 62. Rayo Vallecano have won 1 of their last 5 (DWLLL), while Atlético Madrid have won 2 of 5 (DWWDL). In their last 1 meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 0, Atlético Madrid won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.