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Kick-off · Matchday 6

PSV Eindhoven vs Atlético Madrid: Prediction

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.71 – 1.31
Team rating (Elo)1515 – 1517

Recent form

PSV EindhovenDWDLW
Atlético MadridWWDWW
#TeamPGDPts
2PSV Eindhoven304

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

PSV Eindhoven host Atlético Madrid in the UEFA Champions League on 9 December 2026. PSV Eindhoven sit 42nd on 4 points and Atlético Madrid are 38th on 4. PSV Eindhoven have won 2 of their last 5 (DWDLW), while Atlético Madrid have won 4 of 5 (WWDWW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. TipKhel's model gives PSV Eindhoven 47%, the draw 24% and Atlético Madrid 29%, so PSV Eindhoven are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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