Kick-off · Tue, 16 Feb, 07:00 pm ISTMatchday 19
PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persebaya Surabaya: Prediction
PSIM Yogyakarta47%Away win
Persebaya Surabaya28% Home win25% Draw47% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.15 – 1.58
Team rating (Elo)1433 – 1563
Recent form
PSIM YogyakartaLLLLDPersebaya SurabayaWDLWD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persebaya Surabaya | 8 | +3 | 13 |
| 2 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 7 | -8 | 2 |
Head to head
- Persebaya Surabaya 1–0 PSIM Yogyakarta2026-09-13
- PSIM Yogyakarta 0–3 Persebaya Surabaya2026-01-25
- Persebaya Surabaya 0–1 PSIM Yogyakarta2025-08-08
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
